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Political markets lose share to sports and macro

Politics is no longer the volume leader on most venues.

PredictionSites Editorial · 2 September 2026

Political contracts remain the most discussed category but are no longer the largest by volume on most platforms, with sports and macro markets taking a growing share.

The shift reflects both a quieter election calendar and much better sports coverage across regulated exchanges.

We present political prices strictly as market-implied probabilities from the source platform.