Prediction market guides
How prediction markets work, what the prices mean and what to check before you trade.
Basics
What Are Prediction Markets?
Markets where you buy and sell contracts on real-world outcomes, and the price is the probability.
How Prediction Markets Work
Order books, market makers, resolution sources and what actually happens to your money.
How Prediction Market Probabilities Work
Why the price is a probability, and where that reading breaks down.
YES/NO Prediction Markets Explained
The binary contract is the building block of every prediction market.
Comparisons
Trading
Prediction Market Liquidity Explained
Depth, spread and why market count is a vanity metric.
Prediction Market Fees Explained
Trading fees, commissions, spreads, withdrawals and gas.
How Prediction Markets Are Settled
Resolution sources, dispute windows and who has the final word.
Can You Sell a Prediction Early?
Yes — as long as somebody is on the other side.
Categories
Sports Prediction Markets Explained
Match winners, futures and in-play, priced by traders rather than a sportsbook.
Crypto Prediction Markets Explained
On-chain venues, stablecoin funding and what changes when there is no broker.
Political Prediction Markets Explained
Elections, policy and leadership markets, and how to read them responsibly.