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Coinbase Argues CFTC Solely Oversees Event Contracts in Appeals Court Filing

Coinbase has asserted in the Second Circuit Court of Appeals that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is the exclusive regulatory body for event contracts.

PredictionSites Newsroom · 9 October 2026

Digital asset exchange Coinbase has submitted a filing to the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, contending that only the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) possesses regulatory authority over event contracts. This legal argument arises in the context of an ongoing regulatory dispute, where clarity on jurisdictional lines for novel financial products is frequently sought.

Event contracts, often found on prediction market platforms, allow participants to speculate on the future outcome of various real-world events. These can range from political elections and economic indicators to scientific breakthroughs. The value of these contracts is tied directly to whether a specified event occurs or a certain condition is met.

Coinbase's position suggests that these instruments, by their nature, fall under the purview of the CFTC, which regulates derivatives markets, rather than other financial regulators. This stance is significant for the future operation and expansion of prediction market offerings within the United States, as it seeks to define the regulatory framework under which such products can lawfully operate.

The outcome of this legal argument could establish an important precedent regarding the classification and oversight of event contracts, influencing how both existing and new platforms offering these products navigate the complex U.S. regulatory landscape.

Reported first by Law360 — read the original report. This article was written by the PredictionSites newsroom from that report.