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Kalshi Partners with S&P Dow Jones Indices to Offer Benchmark Event Contracts

A new agreement between Kalshi and S&P Dow Jones Indices will allow the regulated US exchange to list prediction contracts tied to major financial benchmarks.

PredictionSites Newsroom · 31 October 2026

US-regulated event contract platform Kalshi has secured a licensing agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices, paving the way for the exchange to list event-driven markets directly linked to major financial benchmarks. The partnership enables Kalshi to introduce binary contracts structured around the movements and milestones of widely followed equity indices.

Prediction markets and event contracts allow participants to buy and sell positions based on the outcome of clearly defined, real-world questions. Contract prices fluctuate between zero and one hundred cents, effectively representing the collective probability assigned by market participants to a specific scenario settling in the affirmative. With access to S&P Dow Jones data, Kalshi can expand beyond macroeconomic indicators, political milestones, and climate metrics to offer dedicated index-level targets.

Kalshi is registered as a designated contract market under the regulatory oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the United States. Because financial indices are proprietary intellectual property, formal licensing arrangements with benchmark administrators like S&P Dow Jones are required for exchanges to legally list derivatives and settlement mechanisms referencing them.

The addition of index-based events reflects an ongoing convergence between traditional retail derivatives and the broader prediction-market ecosystem. For operators, securing reputable reference data is vital, as reliable index calculation ensures transparent and dispute-free settlement once trading closes.

Reported first by sigma.world — read the original report. This article was written by the PredictionSites newsroom from that report.