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Kalshi Platform Highlights Contenders for NFL's Poorest Season Record

A prediction market on Kalshi indicates two specific NFL teams are currently seen as most likely to finish the regular season with the worst record, according to an analysis by Sports Illustrated.

PredictionSites Newsroom · 4 October 2026

The regulated event contracts platform Kalshi is currently hosting a market that allows users to predict which NFL team will end the regular season with the poorest record. Observations from Sports Illustrated suggest that two particular teams are presently considered front-runners for this undesirable distinction within the market.

Prediction markets function by allowing participants to buy and sell contracts based on the likelihood of a future event. The price of these contracts often reflects the collective probability assigned to an outcome by market participants. In this instance, the prices of contracts for specific teams to have the worst record would indicate their perceived chances by those trading on Kalshi.

Kalshi operates under regulatory oversight in the United States, offering event contracts on a variety of topics including politics, finance, and sports. These markets provide a mechanism for aggregating public opinion and forecasting future events, with contract prices fluctuating as new information becomes available and participants adjust their positions.

While the market identifies specific teams, it is important to note that these are merely probabilities derived from trading activity. The actual outcome of the NFL season can be influenced by numerous unpredictable factors, and market sentiment can shift considerably as the season progresses.

Reported first by Sports Illustrated — read the original report. This article was written by the PredictionSites newsroom from that report.