How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)98%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)0%
Volume $55.6mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Economics prediction markets
Economic markets cover central bank decisions, inflation prints and growth data. They tend to be deep around scheduled releases and thin in between.
14 active economics markets tracked · updated 12 minutes ago
Current markets
Ranked by trading volume.
Fed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase78%
- No change21%
- 25 bps decrease1%
Volume $16.3mcloses in 34d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- 4.25%72%
- 4.0%24%
- ≥ 4.5%2%
Volume $7.1mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Fed rate cut by...?
- July 2027 Meeting49%
- April 2027 Meeting47%
- June 2027 Meeting30%
Volume $3.9mcloses Jan 2028
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
US recession by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes5%
Volume $2.4mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
- ↑ 4.25%75%
- ↓ 1.5%2%
- ↓ 0.25%2%
Volume $1.9mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes76%
- No24%
Volume $1.6mcloses in 34d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Above 4.5%11%
- Above 5%6%
- Above 8%2%
Volume $1.5mcloses Feb 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)75%
- 1 (25 bps)25%
- 3 (75 bps)1%
Volume $1.5mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Fed Decision in January?
- No change74%
- 25 bps increase19%
- 25 bps decrease4%
Volume $1.3mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.3%40%
- 5.4%24%
- 5.5%10%
Volume $1.1mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 14 days agoView →
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike77%
- Hike–Pause–Pause22%
- Other1%
Volume $616kcloses in 33d
Polymarket · updated 2 hours agoView →
Probabilities are market-implied prices from the named source platform at the time of our last update. They are not forecasts, advice or recommendations from PredictionSites.com.
Trending now
Most active over the last 24 hours.
Fed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase78%
- No change21%
- 25 bps decrease1%
Volume $16.3mcloses in 34d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)98%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)0%
Volume $55.6mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes76%
- No24%
Volume $1.6mcloses in 34d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Fed Decision in January?
- No change74%
- 25 bps increase19%
- 25 bps decrease4%
Volume $1.3mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 4.70%81%
- Below 4.65%60%
- Below 4.60%52%
Volume $391kcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 8 days agoView →
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike77%
- Hike–Pause–Pause22%
- Other1%
Volume $616kcloses in 33d
Polymarket · updated 2 hours agoView →
Biggest movers
Economics▲ 11.2 pts
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.3%40%
- 5.4%24%
- 5.5%10%
Volume $1.1mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 14 days agoView →
Economics▲ 11.0 pts
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes76%
- No24%
Volume $1.6mcloses in 34d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Economics▲ 4.0 pts
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike77%
- Hike–Pause–Pause22%
- Other1%
Volume $616kcloses in 33d
Polymarket · updated 2 hours agoView →
Economics▼ 2.5 pts
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)75%
- 1 (25 bps)25%
- 3 (75 bps)1%
Volume $1.5mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Closing soon
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike77%
- Hike–Pause–Pause22%
- Other1%
Volume $616kcloses in 33d
Polymarket · updated 2 hours agoView →
Fed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase78%
- No change21%
- 25 bps decrease1%
Volume $16.3mcloses in 34d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes76%
- No24%
Volume $1.6mcloses in 34d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
US recession by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes5%
Volume $2.4mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 4.70%81%
- Below 4.65%60%
- Below 4.60%52%
Volume $391kcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 8 days agoView →
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
- ↑ 4.25%75%
- ↓ 1.5%2%
- ↓ 0.25%2%
Volume $1.9mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Where to trade these markets
Availability depends on your country.
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