How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)96%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)1%
Volume $53.2mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Economics prediction markets
Economic markets cover central bank decisions, inflation prints and growth data. They tend to be deep around scheduled releases and thin in between.
23 active economics markets tracked · updated 4 minutes ago
Current markets
Ranked by trading volume.
Fed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase53%
- No change47%
- 50+ bps increase1%
Volume $9.2mcloses in 37d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- 4.25%53%
- ≥ 4.5%29%
- 4.0%17%
Volume $6.9mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Fed rate cut by...?
- July 2027 Meeting50%
- June 2027 Meeting44%
- April 2027 Meeting44%
Volume $3.7mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
US recession by end of 2026?
- No92%
- Yes9%
Volume $2.0mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
- ↑ 4.25%82%
- ↑ 4.5%23%
- ↑ 4.75%4%
Volume $1.8mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Above 4.5%18%
- Above 5%9%
- Above 6%5%
Volume $1.5mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Fed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase68%
- No change30%
- 25 bps decrease2%
Volume $1.1mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)60%
- 3 (75 bps)23%
- 1 (25 bps)16%
Volume $582kcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 1 hour agoView →
EconomicsInflation
Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in September 2026?
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $80kcloses in 22d
Kalshi · updated 25 minutes agoView →
EconomicsGDP
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026?
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $76kcloses in 38d
Kalshi · updated 25 minutes agoView →
EconomicsGDP
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q1 2027?
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $55kcloses Apr 2027
Kalshi · updated 25 minutes agoView →
Probabilities are market-implied prices from the named source platform at the time of our last update. They are not forecasts, advice or recommendations from PredictionSites.com.
Trending now
Most active over the last 24 hours.
Fed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase53%
- No change47%
- 50+ bps increase1%
Volume $9.2mcloses in 37d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)96%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)1%
Volume $53.2mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)60%
- 3 (75 bps)23%
- 1 (25 bps)16%
Volume $582kcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 1 hour agoView →
Fed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase68%
- No change30%
- 25 bps decrease2%
Volume $1.1mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
US recession by end of 2026?
- No92%
- Yes9%
Volume $2.0mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
EconomicsInflation
Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in September 2026?
- Yes62%
- No38%
Volume $53kcloses in 22d
Kalshi · updated 25 minutes agoView →
Biggest movers
Closing soon
EconomicsInflation
Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in September 2026?
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $80kcloses in 22d
Kalshi · updated 25 minutes agoView →
EconomicsInflation
Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in September 2026?
- Yes62%
- No38%
Volume $53kcloses in 22d
Kalshi · updated 25 minutes agoView →
EconomicsInflation
Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in September 2026?
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $42kcloses in 22d
Kalshi · updated 25 minutes agoView →
EconomicsInflation
Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in September 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
Volume $11kcloses in 22d
Kalshi · updated 25 minutes agoView →
EconomicsInflation
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in September 2026?
- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $10kcloses in 22d
Kalshi · updated 25 minutes agoView →
Fed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase53%
- No change47%
- 50+ bps increase1%
Volume $9.2mcloses in 37d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Where to trade these markets
Availability depends on your country.
Related news
Prediction Markets Open on 'Shick vs Maloney' Event
Prediction markets have reportedly begun offering contracts on an event identified as 'Shick vs Maloney'. This allows participants to speculate on the outcome of the contest.
Reports Allege $10 Million Fraud Scheme Linked to Polymarket Control Gaps
Recent reports highlight an alleged $10 million fraud scheme, with claims suggesting it exploited weaknesses in the operational controls of the prediction market platform, Polymarket.
Robinhood Reportedly Expands Prediction Market Offerings via Crypto.com Alliance
Robinhood is apparently broadening its engagement with prediction markets through a new collaboration with Crypto.com, suggesting an expansion of accessible platforms for users.
Related guides
What Are Prediction Markets?
Markets where you buy and sell contracts on real-world outcomes, and the price is the probability.
How Prediction Markets Work
Order books, market makers, resolution sources and what actually happens to your money.
How Prediction Market Probabilities Work
Why the price is a probability, and where that reading breaks down.