Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Jon Ossoff28%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
- Gavin Newsom12%
Volume $1.3bncloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Politics prediction markets
Political markets price elections, leadership changes and policy milestones. Everything here is a market-implied probability from the named source platform, not a forecast or endorsement by PredictionSites.com.
131 active politics markets tracked · updated 12 minutes ago
Current markets
Ranked by trading volume.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Jon Ossoff21%
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
Volume $734.7mcloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance38%
- Marco Rubio19%
- Ron DeSantis13%
Volume $729.3mcloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen45%
- David Lisnard15%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
Volume $167.0mcloses Apr 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Netanyahu out by...?
- June 30, 202773%
- March 31, 202756%
- December 3138%
Volume $125.3mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro91%
- Delcy Rodríguez8%
- No Head of State1%
Volume $99.6mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No89%
- Yes12%
Volume $78.1mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
- March 3172%
- December 3142%
- November 3022%
Volume $48.3mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
Volume $45.9mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 31100%
- November 2100%
Volume $41.6mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Iran leader end of 2026?
- Mojtaba Khamenei91%
- No Head of State4%
- Alireza Arafi2%
Volume $40.8mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- No98%
- Yes2%
Volume $36.0mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Probabilities are market-implied prices from the named source platform at the time of our last update. They are not forecasts, advice or recommendations from PredictionSites.com.
Trending now
Most active over the last 24 hours.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Jon Ossoff28%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
- Gavin Newsom12%
Volume $1.3bncloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Jon Ossoff21%
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
Volume $734.7mcloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance38%
- Marco Rubio19%
- Ron DeSantis13%
Volume $729.3mcloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 31100%
- November 2100%
Volume $41.6mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
- March 31, 2027100%
- December 31, 2026100%
- October 31, 2026100%
Volume $12.5mcloses Jun 2027
Polymarket · updated 45 days agoView →
Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen45%
- David Lisnard15%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
Volume $167.0mcloses Apr 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Biggest movers
Politics▲ 91.0 pts
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?
- December 31100%
- October 31100%
- October 23100%
Volume $911kcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 21 days agoView →
Politics▲ 31.0 pts
Maduro Prison Time?
- No prison time68%
- 60+14%
- <208%
Volume $1.1mcloses Jan 2028
Polymarket · updated 3 days agoView →
Politics▲ 23.1 pts
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson52%
- Ulf Kristersson49%
- Ebba Busch1%
Volume $11.3mcloses Jul 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Politics▲ 17.0 pts
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
- Ulrich Siegmund86%
- Sven Schulze4%
- Sepp Müller3%
Volume $414kcloses Jun 2027
Polymarket · updated 30 days agoView →
Politics▼ 12.4 pts
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
- December 31, 202645%
- November 30, 202626%
Volume $1.5mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Politics▼ 10.0 pts
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
- No78%
- Yes23%
Volume $523kcloses in 25d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Closing soon
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
- Chiang Wan-an71%
- Puma Shen29%
- Kuo Hsi0%
Volume $3.9mcloses in 23d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
- Kuomintang (KMT)75%
- Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)26%
- Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)0%
Volume $447kcloses in 23d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
- Alberto Núñez Feijóo88%
- Pedro Sánchez10%
- Santiago Abascal1%
Volume $2.9mcloses in 24d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
- November 3030%
- October 312%
Volume $556kcloses in 24d
Polymarket · updated 1 day agoView →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
- No96%
- Yes4%
Volume $1.5mcloses in 25d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
- No78%
- Yes23%
Volume $523kcloses in 25d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Where to trade these markets
Availability depends on your country.
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