Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Gavin Newsom13%
Volume $1.3bncloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Politics prediction markets
Political markets price elections, leadership changes and policy milestones. Everything here is a market-implied probability from the named source platform, not a forecast or endorsement by PredictionSites.com.
110 active politics markets tracked · updated 4 minutes ago
Current markets
Ranked by trading volume.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
Volume $708.1mcloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio16%
- Tucker Carlson3%
Volume $706.8mcloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Brazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro60%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva39%
- Renan Santos1%
Volume $153.1mcloses in 12d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen38%
- Édouard Philippe24%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
Volume $136.8mcloses Apr 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Netanyahu out by...?
- Yes51%
- No50%
Volume $124.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro55%
- Delcy Rodríguez46%
- No Head of State0%
Volume $97.3mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No85%
- Yes16%
Volume $67.7mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
Volume $42.6mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
California Governor Election Winner
- Xavier Becerra95%
- Steve Hilton5%
- Rick Caruso0%
Volume $41.2mcloses in 42d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Iran leader end of 2026?
- Mojtaba Khamenei84%
- No Head of State5%
- Reza Pahlavi3%
Volume $39.5mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot53%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28%
- Naftali Bennett8%
Volume $38.5mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Probabilities are market-implied prices from the named source platform at the time of our last update. They are not forecasts, advice or recommendations from PredictionSites.com.
Trending now
Most active over the last 24 hours.
Brazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro60%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva39%
- Renan Santos1%
Volume $153.1mcloses in 12d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
Volume $708.1mcloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
- September 30100%
- December 31100%
- October 31100%
Volume $2.6mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen38%
- Édouard Philippe24%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
Volume $136.8mcloses Apr 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Gavin Newsom13%
Volume $1.3bncloses Nov 2028
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
- December 3133%
- October 3122%
Volume $7.5mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Biggest movers
Politics▲ 13.5 pts
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
- September 2599%
- December 3199%
- September 2398%
Volume $870kcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Politics▼ 12.0 pts
Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
- Pam Alexis14%
- Kerry-Lynne Findlay10%
- Lakhwinder Jhaj1%
Volume $75kcloses in 5d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Politics▼ 9.5 pts
Quebec General Election Winner
- PQ92%
- CAQ7%
- PLQ3%
Volume $1.0mcloses in 13d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Politics▲ 7.0 pts
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- No83%
- Yes18%
Volume $208kcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Politics▼ 6.0 pts
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
- Karen Bass56%
- Nithya Raman43%
Volume $13.9mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Politics▲ 6.0 pts
Ohio Senate Election Winner
- Sherrod Brown (D)61%
- Jon Husted (R)41%
Volume $658kcloses in 42d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Closing soon
Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
- Pam Alexis14%
- Kerry-Lynne Findlay10%
- Lakhwinder Jhaj1%
Volume $75kcloses in 5d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No99%
- Yes1%
Volume $9.2mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
- No Meeting by September 3085%
- USA13%
- Pakistan0%
Volume $6.4mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- No100%
- Yes0%
Volume $2.4mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- No100%
- Yes0%
Volume $2.2mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Trump out as President by September 30?
- No100%
- Yes0%
Volume $1.4mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
Where to trade these markets
Availability depends on your country.
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Related guides
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Markets where you buy and sell contracts on real-world outcomes, and the price is the probability.
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