Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
- December 314%
- September 301%
Volume $69.3mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Technology prediction markets
Technology markets price AI milestones, product launches, space missions and scientific results. Resolution wording matters more here than anywhere else.
13 active technology markets tracked · updated 3 minutes ago
Current markets
Ranked by trading volume.
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑4k100%
- ↑4.5k87%
Volume $8.0mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.5T89%
- ↑$1.75T80%
- ↑$2.0T74%
Volume $5.0mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic99%
- Google1%
- OpenAI1%
Volume $3.7mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 175%
- 223%
- 31%
Volume $3.5mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Human moon landing in 2026?
- No99%
- Yes1%
Volume $2.0mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–1663%
- 17–1922%
- 11–1310%
Volume $1.5mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic71%
- OpenAI13%
- Google10%
Volume $1.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba88%
- Moonshot6%
- Xiaomi2%
Volume $565kcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Tencent30%
- CATL29%
- Baidu28%
Volume $388kcloses Jul 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Next Claude Opus released by...?
- October 3199%
- December 3198%
- September 3097%
Volume $272kcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
- December 31, 202782%
- December 31, 202652%
- September 30, 202611%
Volume $261kcloses Jan 2028
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Probabilities are market-implied prices from the named source platform at the time of our last update. They are not forecasts, advice or recommendations from PredictionSites.com.
Trending now
Most active over the last 24 hours.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
- December 314%
- September 301%
Volume $69.3mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Next Claude Opus released on...?
- September 2272%
- September 2413%
- September 238%
Volume $251kcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.5T89%
- ↑$1.75T80%
- ↑$2.0T74%
Volume $5.0mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic99%
- Google1%
- OpenAI1%
Volume $3.7mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic71%
- OpenAI13%
- Google10%
Volume $1.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Tencent30%
- CATL29%
- Baidu28%
Volume $388kcloses Jul 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Biggest movers
Technology▼ 10.5 pts
Next Claude Opus released by...?
- October 3199%
- December 3198%
- September 3097%
Volume $272kcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Technology▼ 4.0 pts
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba88%
- Moonshot6%
- Xiaomi2%
Volume $565kcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Technology▼ 4.0 pts
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
- December 31, 202782%
- December 31, 202652%
- September 30, 202611%
Volume $261kcloses Jan 2028
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Technology▼ 2.5 pts
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic71%
- OpenAI13%
- Google10%
Volume $1.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Technology▼ 2.0 pts
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.5T89%
- ↑$1.75T80%
- ↑$2.0T74%
Volume $5.0mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Closing soon
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic99%
- Google1%
- OpenAI1%
Volume $3.7mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba88%
- Moonshot6%
- Xiaomi2%
Volume $565kcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Next Claude Opus released on...?
- September 2272%
- September 2413%
- September 238%
Volume $251kcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 175%
- 223%
- 31%
Volume $3.5mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
- December 314%
- September 301%
Volume $69.3mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑4k100%
- ↑4.5k87%
Volume $8.0mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 3 minutes agoView →
Where to trade these markets
Availability depends on your country.
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Related guides
What Are Prediction Markets?
Markets where you buy and sell contracts on real-world outcomes, and the price is the probability.
How Prediction Markets Work
Order books, market makers, resolution sources and what actually happens to your money.
How Prediction Market Probabilities Work
Why the price is a probability, and where that reading breaks down.