Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
- No98%
- Yes2%
Technology markets price AI milestones, product launches, space missions and scientific results. Resolution wording matters more here than anywhere else.
27 active technology markets tracked · updated 9 minutes ago
Ranked by trading volume.
Probabilities are market-implied prices from the named source platform at the time of our last update. They are not forecasts, advice or recommendations from PredictionSites.com.
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Coinbase Prediction Market Eyes Bitcoin Price for Late 2026
Coinbase has featured a prediction market contract focused on Bitcoin’s price on 5 November 2026, offering traders a long-dated digital asset forecasting instrument.
CFTC Directs Prediction Markets to Remove State-Level Geo-Restrictions
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has instructed prediction market operators to dismantle state-level geo-blocking mechanisms within a 30-day compliance window.
California Tribes Secure Injunction Against Kalshi Sports Contracts
A legal injunction will prevent prediction platform Kalshi from offering sports event contracts on tribal land in California, highlighting jurisdictional clashes over event trading.
What Are Prediction Markets?
Markets where you buy and sell contracts on real-world outcomes, and the price is the probability.
How Prediction Markets Work
Order books, market makers, resolution sources and what actually happens to your money.
How Prediction Market Probabilities Work
Why the price is a probability, and where that reading breaks down.