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World Events prediction markets

World event markets cover geopolitics, conflict, climate and global risk. Read them alongside the liquidity figure — thin books move on very little.

38 active world events markets tracked · updated 4 minutes ago

Current markets

Ranked by trading volume.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

  • December 316%
  • September 301%
Volume $73.7mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • September 3095%
  • October 3183%
  • November 3073%
Volume $31.1mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

  • No96%
  • Yes4%
Volume $22.1mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

  • No97%
  • Yes3%
Volume $18.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

  • December 3112%
  • November 308%
  • October 313%
Volume $17.9mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

  • No96%
  • Yes4%
Volume $13.8mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Iran full airspace closure by...?

  • December 3126%
  • October 3113%
  • September 306%
Volume $9.7mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

  • December 315%
  • September 301%
Volume $8.5mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

US military action against Cuba by...?

  • No86%
  • Yes14%
Volume $7.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

  • December 3120%
  • October 318%
  • September 302%
Volume $7.2mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

  • ↓ $9076%
  • ↑ $9576%
  • ↑ $10032%
Volume $7.0mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Crude Oil all time high by...?

  • December 3110%
  • September 300%
Volume $4.1mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Probabilities are market-implied prices from the named source platform at the time of our last update. They are not forecasts, advice or recommendations from PredictionSites.com.

Trending now

Most active over the last 24 hours.

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

  • ↓ $9076%
  • ↑ $9576%
  • ↑ $10032%
Volume $7.0mcloses in 9d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • September 3095%
  • October 3183%
  • November 3073%
Volume $31.1mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

  • No96%
  • Yes4%
Volume $13.8mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

  • Dopropillia97%
  • Druzkhivka41%
  • Kramatorsk20%
Volume $1.2mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Crude Oil all time high by...?

  • December 3110%
  • September 300%
Volume $4.1mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?

  • 30°C49%
  • 31°C33%
  • 29°C11%
Volume $59kcloses in 11h
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Biggest movers

World Events 4.3 pts

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

  • 865%
  • 930%
  • 102%
Volume $1.7mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
World Events 4.0 pts

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 22?

  • 28°C57%
  • 29°C34%
  • 27°C6%
Volume $32kcloses in 11h
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →
World Events 3.5 pts

Highest temperature in Wellington on September 23?

  • 11°C54%
  • 12°C22%
  • 10°C18%
Volume $20kcloses in 1d
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Closing soon

Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?

  • 30°C49%
  • 31°C33%
  • 29°C11%
Volume $59kcloses in 11h
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Highest temperature in Wellington on September 22?

  • 14°C100%
  • 15°C0%
  • 9°C or below0%
Volume $52kcloses in 11h
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Highest temperature in London on September 22?

  • 25°C47%
  • 24°C31%
  • 26°C or higher18%
Volume $43kcloses in 11h
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 22?

  • 23°C95%
  • 24°C5%
  • 25°C0%
Volume $42kcloses in 11h
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?

  • 31°C36%
  • 30°C25%
  • 32°C24%
Volume $42kcloses in 11h
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 22?

  • 28°C57%
  • 29°C34%
  • 27°C6%
Volume $32kcloses in 11h
Polymarket · updated 4 minutes agoView →

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