Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
- No96%
- Yes5%
Volume $77.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
World Events prediction markets
World event markets cover geopolitics, conflict, climate and global risk. Read them alongside the liquidity figure — thin books move on very little.
34 active world events markets tracked · updated 12 minutes ago
Current markets
Ranked by trading volume.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- November 3100%
- November 4100%
- November 5100%
Volume $46.9mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
- No98%
- Yes2%
Volume $22.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
- December 3110%
- November 304%
Volume $21.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
Volume $18.9mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- No98%
- Yes2%
Volume $17.0mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Iran full airspace closure by...?
- December 3128%
- November 3017%
Volume $11.2mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
- December 31, 202735%
- June 30, 202718%
- March 31, 202710%
Volume $8.7mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
US military action against Cuba by...?
- No92%
- Yes9%
Volume $7.7mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
- No89%
- Yes12%
Volume $7.6mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Crude Oil all time high by...?
- March 31, 202721%
- December 319%
Volume $5.6mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
- No95%
- Yes6%
Volume $4.1mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Probabilities are market-implied prices from the named source platform at the time of our last update. They are not forecasts, advice or recommendations from PredictionSites.com.
Trending now
Most active over the last 24 hours.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- November 3100%
- November 4100%
- November 5100%
Volume $46.9mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
- December 3110%
- November 304%
Volume $21.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
- No87%
- Yes13%
Volume $633kcloses in 25d
Polymarket · updated 2 days agoView →
Iran full airspace closure by...?
- December 3128%
- November 3017%
Volume $11.2mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?
- December 31100%
- October 31100%
- September 30100%
Volume $542kcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 45 days agoView →
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
- ↑ $9569%
- ↓ $8566%
- ↑ $10045%
Volume $1.4mcloses in 25d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Biggest movers
World Events▲ 15.5 pts
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
- Ursula von der Leyen56%
- Mark Rutte51%
- Emmanuel Macron18%
Volume $791kcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 4 days agoView →
World Events▼ 4.3 pts
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
- 882%
- 99%
- 102%
Volume $1.7mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
World Events▲ 3.0 pts
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No72%
- Yes28%
Volume $531kcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 25 days agoView →
Closing soon
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
- No87%
- Yes13%
Volume $633kcloses in 25d
Polymarket · updated 2 days agoView →
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
- ↑ $9569%
- ↓ $8566%
- ↑ $10045%
Volume $1.4mcloses in 25d
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- November 3100%
- November 4100%
- November 5100%
Volume $46.9mcloses Dec 2026
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
- No96%
- Yes5%
Volume $77.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
- No98%
- Yes2%
Volume $22.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
- December 3110%
- November 304%
Volume $21.4mcloses Jan 2027
Polymarket · updated 12 minutes agoView →
Where to trade these markets
Availability depends on your country.
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