Country guide

🇬🇧 Prediction markets in United Kingdom

The United Kingdom has the most mature betting-exchange market in the world, but the newer crypto prediction markets are largely closed to UK customers.

8 prediction sites confirmed available in United Kingdom.

Prediction sites available in United Kingdom

Betfair Exchange

8.6

Betting Exchange

Available in United Kingdom

The original peer-to-peer betting exchange, strongest on sport with some politics and specials.

Sports • Politics • Entertainment

Funding: Fiat · App: Yes

Smarkets

8.2

Betting Exchange

Available in United Kingdom

Low-commission betting exchange with strong politics and sports coverage.

Sports • Politics • Entertainment • World Events

Funding: Fiat · App: Yes

Matchbook

7.6

Betting Exchange

Available in United Kingdom

Sports-focused betting exchange known for low commission on racing and football.

Sports • Politics

Funding: Fiat · App: Yes

Manifold

7.4

Prediction Market

Available in United Kingdom

Play-money prediction market with a huge range of user-created questions.

Politics • Technology • Economics • Entertainment

Funding: Fiat · App: No

Metaculus

7.0

Other

Available in United Kingdom

Forecasting platform with reputation scoring rather than financial stakes.

Technology • Economics • Politics • World Events

Funding: Fiat · App: No

Good Judgment Open

4.2

Prediction Market

Available in United Kingdom

Free forecasting tournament platform run by the team behind superforecasting research.

Politics • World Events • Economics • Technology

Funding: Fiat · App: No

INFER

3.9

Prediction Market

Available in United Kingdom

Crowd forecasting platform focused on science, technology and national security questions.

Technology • World Events • Politics • Economics

Funding: Fiat · App: No

BETDAQ

3.9

Betting Exchange

Available in United Kingdom

Long-running British betting exchange focused on horse racing and football with low commission.

Sports

Funding: Fiat · App: Yes

Availability in United Kingdom

Licensed exchanges such as Betfair, Smarkets and Matchbook are fully available in the UK. Most crypto-native prediction markets, including Polymarket, block UK customers because event contracts sold to UK consumers fall under gambling licensing.

Regulation in United Kingdom

The Gambling Commission licenses betting exchanges and enforces strict rules on customer funds, advertising and affordability checks. An unlicensed prediction market that accepts UK customers is operating outside that framework, which is why most choose to geoblock instead.

How prediction markets work here

UK exchanges use a back-and-lay model: you either back an outcome or lay it against another customer, and the operator takes commission on net winnings. Prediction markets elsewhere use YES/NO shares priced between 0 and 1, which is economically similar but priced differently.

Deposits and withdrawals

Debit card, bank transfer, Apple Pay, Google Pay and PayPal are standard. Credit cards are banned for gambling in the UK.

Sites that do not accept users in United Kingdom

Prediction market FAQs for United Kingdom

Is Polymarket available in the UK?

No. It restricts UK customers.

Are betting exchanges legal in the UK?

Yes, when licensed by the Gambling Commission.

What is the cheapest UK exchange?

Smarkets charges a flat 2% commission on net winnings with no premium charge.