Country guide

🇺🇸 Prediction markets in United States

The United States now has the most developed regulated prediction-market sector anywhere, built on CFTC-designated exchanges rather than gambling licences.

22 prediction sites confirmed available in United States.

Prediction sites available in United States

Polymarket

9.1

Prediction Market

Available in United States

Crypto-funded prediction market covering politics, sport, economics, technology and world events.

Politics • Crypto • Sports • Finance

Funding: Crypto · App: Yes

Kalshi

8.9

Event Exchange

Available in United States

CFTC-regulated US event exchange covering economics, politics, sport, weather and culture.

Economics • Politics • Finance • Sports

Funding: Fiat & Crypto · App: Yes

Limitless

8.0

Crypto Prediction Market

Available in United States

Onchain prediction exchange focused on fast crypto, macro and culture markets.

Crypto • Finance • Politics • Sports

Funding: Crypto · App: No

Robinhood Prediction Markets

8.0

Event Exchange

Available in United States

Event contracts inside the Robinhood app, cleared through a regulated US exchange.

Economics • Politics • Sports • Finance

Funding: Fiat · App: Yes

Crypto.com Prediction Markets

7.9

Event Exchange

Available in United States

Event trading inside the Crypto.com app, launched through its regulated US derivatives arm.

Sports • Crypto • Economics • Politics

Funding: Fiat & Crypto · App: Yes

SX Bet

7.5

Betting Exchange

Available in United States

Onchain peer-to-peer betting exchange focused on sport and esports.

Sports • Crypto • Politics

Funding: Crypto · App: No

Sporttrade

7.4

Betting Exchange

Available in United States

US sports trading exchange where bets are priced like shares between 0 and 100.

Sports

Funding: Fiat · App: Yes

Manifold

7.4

Prediction Market

Available in United States

Play-money prediction market with a huge range of user-created questions.

Politics • Technology • Economics • Entertainment

Funding: Fiat · App: No

Futuur

7.3

Prediction Market

Available in United States

Global prediction market offering both play-money and real-money markets.

Politics • Crypto • Sports • Economics

Funding: Fiat & Crypto · App: No

PredictIt

7.2

Prediction Market

Available in United States

Long-running US political prediction market operating under academic research terms.

Politics • Economics

Funding: Fiat · App: No

Overtime Markets

7.1

Crypto Prediction Market

Available in United States

Onchain sports and event markets built on the Thales protocol.

Sports • Crypto

Funding: Crypto · App: No

Drift BET

7.0

Crypto Prediction Market

Available in United States

Prediction markets built into the Drift decentralised exchange on Solana.

Crypto • Politics • Sports • Economics

Funding: Crypto · App: No

Novig

7.0

Betting Exchange

Available in United States

US peer-to-peer sports exchange with a no-vig pricing model.

Sports

Funding: Fiat · App: Yes

Metaculus

7.0

Other

Available in United States

Forecasting platform with reputation scoring rather than financial stakes.

Technology • Economics • Politics • World Events

Funding: Fiat · App: No

Azuro

6.9

Crypto Prediction Market

Available in United States

Decentralised prediction and betting liquidity protocol powering third-party front-ends.

Sports • Crypto • Politics

Funding: Crypto · App: No

Myriad Markets

6.8

Prediction Market

Available in United States

Media-backed prediction market covering crypto, culture and current affairs.

Crypto • Entertainment • Politics • Technology

Funding: Crypto · App: No

Zeitgeist

6.5

Crypto Prediction Market

Available in United States

Purpose-built prediction market blockchain with community-created markets.

Crypto • Politics • Technology • World Events

Funding: Crypto · App: No

Good Judgment Open

4.2

Prediction Market

Available in United States

Free forecasting tournament platform run by the team behind superforecasting research.

Politics • World Events • Economics • Technology

Funding: Fiat · App: No

Railbird Exchange

4.1

Event Exchange

Available in United States

CFTC-regulated US event contract exchange covering economics, politics and culture.

Politics • Economics • Finance • World Events

Funding: Fiat · App: No

Prophet X

4.0

Betting Exchange

Available in United States

US peer-to-peer sports betting exchange offering better prices than sportsbooks.

Sports

Funding: Fiat · App: Yes

INFER

3.9

Prediction Market

Available in United States

Crowd forecasting platform focused on science, technology and national security questions.

Technology • World Events • Politics • Economics

Funding: Fiat · App: No

BetOpenly

3.5

Betting Exchange

Available in United States

US peer-to-peer betting platform where users set their own odds and bet each other.

Sports

Funding: Fiat · App: No

Availability in United States

Kalshi, Robinhood Prediction Markets and Polymarket's US product are all available nationwide as federally regulated derivatives. State-licensed sports exchanges such as Sporttrade operate only in the states where they hold a licence.

Regulation in United States

Event contracts are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as derivatives, not by state gambling regulators. That distinction is contested by several states, so the landscape can change - check each brand page for current status.

How prediction markets work here

Contracts settle at $1 or $0 and trade between 1c and 99c on a central limit order book, cleared through a registered clearing house.

Deposits and withdrawals

Bank transfer (ACH), debit card and Apple Pay are standard. Crypto funding is available on some venues.

Sites that do not accept users in United States

Prediction market FAQs for United States

Are prediction markets legal in the US?

Federally regulated event contracts are legal nationwide, though several states dispute this for sports contracts.

Do I need to verify my identity?

Yes, on every regulated US venue.